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<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.2 20190208//EN" "http://jats.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/1.2/JATS-journalpublishing1.dtd">
<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.2" xml:lang="ru" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="issn">2409-1634</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Research result. Economic Research</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2409-1634</issn></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.18413/2409-1634-2016-2-3-62-66</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">810</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>FINANCE</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>STATISTICAL MODELING OF SHARE PRICE PERFORMANCE</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>STATISTICAL MODELING OF SHARE PRICE PERFORMANCE</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Rudalev</surname><given-names>Valeriy G.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Rudalev</surname><given-names>Valeriy G.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email>rudalev@amm.vsu.ru</email></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Dylevskiy</surname><given-names>Alexander V.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Dylevskiy</surname><given-names>Alexander V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email>nefta@yandex.com</email></contrib></contrib-group><pub-date pub-type="epub"><year>2016</year></pub-date><volume>2</volume><issue>3</issue><fpage>0</fpage><lpage>0</lpage><self-uri content-type="pdf" xlink:href="/media/economic/2016/3/Дылевский_А._В._статья.pdf" /><abstract xml:lang="ru"><p>The paper considers the problem of statistical modeling of share price performance of the Russian and foreign emitents and the indices of risk and profitability in conditions of normal distribution of profitability. A natural limit for negative profitability is imposed. The offered approach has a simple mathematical realization. The modeling method described in the article can be useful for both private investors, and large investment funds. For realization of the method of modeling the program in Matlab package was written. An example of modeling is given.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The paper considers the problem of statistical modeling of share price performance of the Russian and foreign emitents and the indices of risk and profitability in conditions of normal distribution of profitability. A natural limit for negative profitability is imposed. The offered approach has a simple mathematical realization. The modeling method described in the article can be useful for both private investors, and large investment funds. For realization of the method of modeling the program in Matlab package was written. An example of modeling is given.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>stock</kwd><kwd>quotation</kwd><kwd>profitability</kwd><kwd>risk</kwd><kwd>statistical modeling</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>stock</kwd><kwd>quotation</kwd><kwd>profitability</kwd><kwd>risk</kwd><kwd>statistical modeling</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>Список литературы</title><ref id="B1"><mixed-citation>Berzon, N. I., Doroshin, D. I., 2012. Features of the Application Performance of Financial Investments // Finansy i Kredit. No. 14 (494). Pp. 21-33.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="B2"><mixed-citation>Kozhevnikov, A., 2012. Software for Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Random Processes with Leaps Describing Dynamics of Stock Prices of the Aviation Industry Enterprises // Ehlektronnyj zhurnal &amp;ldquo;Trudy MAI&amp;rdquo;. Issue 59.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="B3"><mixed-citation>Bates, D. Jump and stochastic volatility: exchange rate processes implicit in deutsche mark options // Review of financial studies. No. 9 (1996): P. 69&amp;ndash;107.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="B4"><mixed-citation>Henriksson, R., Merton, R., 1981. On market timing and investment performance: statistical procedures for evaluating forecasting skills // Journal of business. No. 54: 513&amp;ndash;533.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="B5"><mixed-citation>Markowitz, H., 1952. Portfolio selection. Journal of finance. Vol.&amp;nbsp;7, No.&amp;nbsp;1, p. 77&amp;ndash;91.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="B6"><mixed-citation>Merton, R., 1976. Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous // Journal of financial economics. No. 3, p. 125&amp;ndash;144.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="B7"><mixed-citation>Sharpe, W. F. The Sharpe ratio // Journal of portfolio management. (Fall 1994): P. 49&amp;ndash;58.</mixed-citation></ref></ref-list></back></article>